Thuringia state election 2019: the result
In the Thuringia state election on 27 October 2019, Linke became the largest party with 31.0%, 7.6 points ahead of AfD (23.4%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- NPD (0.5%), Piraten (0.4%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 1.8 points per party on average, Linke underestimated by 3.4
- Turnout
- 64.9%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2019 state election
Turnout in the Thuringia state election on 27 October 2019 was 64.9%. The Thuringian Landtag has 90 seats; a majority needs 46.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2019 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Die Linke | 31.0% | 29 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 23.4% | 22 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 21.8% | 21 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 8.2% | 8 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 5.2% | 5 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.0% | 5 |
| Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 0.5% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.4% | – |
| Others | 4.5% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 90 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Thuringian Landtag after the 2019 result
90 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- Linke29
- AfD22
- CDU21
- SPD8
- FDP5
- Grüne5
Which alliances had a majority after the 2019 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- Linke + AfD51 of 90
- Linke + CDU50 of 90
- AfD + CDU + SPD51 of 90
- AfD + CDU + FDP48 of 90
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 90
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2019 state election
5 polls between 17 Oct 2019 and 24 Oct 2019, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | Linke | AfD | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | NPD | Piraten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Oct 2019 | 28 | 21 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 5 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 24 Oct 2019 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Civey | 23 Oct 2019 | 30.2 | 23.2 | 22.9 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 17 Oct 2019 | 29 | 24 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 4 | – | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Oct 2019 | 27 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Min – Max | 27–30.2 | 20–24 | 22.9–26 | 8–9 | 7–8 | 4–5 | – | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 24 Oct 2019
Who came closest before the 2019 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | Linke | AfD | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 27 Oct 2019 | 31.0% | 23.4% | 21.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | ||
| Civey | 23 Oct 2019 (4 days before) | -0.8 | -0.2 | +1.1 | ±0 | +2.2 | ±0 | 0.7 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Oct 2019 (10 days before) | -2.0 | +0.6 | +2.2 | -0.2 | +1.8 | -1.0 | 1.3 |
| INSA | 24 Oct 2019 (3 days before) | -3.0 | +0.6 | +2.2 | +0.8 | +2.8 | ±0 | 1.6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Oct 2019 (3 days before) | -3.0 | -2.4 | +4.2 | +0.8 | +1.8 | ±0 | 2.0 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.