Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 31 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 900
- Method
- Online
- AfD31.0%+3.5
- CDU22.5%-0.5
- BSW17.5%-1.5
- Linke14.0%-1.5
- SPD5.0%+0.5
- Grüne2.5%±0
- Others7.5%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Aug 2024.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 22.5%. 900 people were surveyed from 26 to 31 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Aug 2024, AfD gains 3.5 points, BSW loses 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 6.5
- AfD +1.2average 29.8
- Grüne -1.0average 3.5
- BSW -0.5average 18.0
- Linke +0.5average 13.5
- CDU +0.2average 22.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD30
- CDU22
- BSW17
- Linke14
- SPD5
- AfD + CDU52 of 88
- AfD + BSW47 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke53 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD49 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.