Forsa poll of 30 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Online
- AfD30.0%±0
- CDU22.0%+1.0
- BSW17.0%-1.0
- Linke14.0%+1.0
- SPD7.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024, CDU gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.5average 18.5
- SPD +1.1average 5.9
- AfD +0.9average 29.1
- Grüne +0.9average 3.1
- CDU -0.5average 22.5
- Linke +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- CDU21
- BSW17
- Linke14
- SPD7
- AfD + CDU50 of 88
- AfD + BSW46 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke52 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD50 of 88
- CDU + BSW + SPD45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.