Forsa poll of 20 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Online
- AfD30.0%-6.0
- CDU21.0%+1.0
- BSW18.0%+14.0
- Linke13.0%-4.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- Grüne4.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2024.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2024, BSW gains 14.0 points, AfD loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.5average 19.5
- Linke -1.4average 14.4
- AfD +1.1average 28.9
- CDU -1.0average 22.0
- SPD +0.9average 6.1
- Grüne +0.9average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- CDU21
- BSW18
- Linke13
- SPD7
- AfD + CDU50 of 88
- AfD + BSW47 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke52 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD49 of 88
- CDU + BSW + SPD46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.