Forsa poll of 11 January 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,253
- Method
- Online
- AfD36.0%+12.0
- CDU20.0%+8.0
- Linke17.0%-20.0
- SPD9.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%-2.0
- BSW4.0%
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 36.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,253 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Feb 2020, Linke loses 20.0 points, AfD gains 12.0 points, CDU gains 8.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 6.5 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -6.5average 23.5
- Grüne +1.5average 3.5
- CDU +1.0average 19.0
- SPD +1.0average 8.0
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- AfD +0.7average 35.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD37
- CDU20
- Linke17
- SPD9
- Grüne5
- AfD + CDU57 of 88
- AfD + Linke54 of 88
- AfD + SPD46 of 88
- CDU + Linke + SPD46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.