Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 February 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke37.0%
  • AfD24.0%
  • CDU12.0%
  • SPD9.0%
  • Grüne7.0%
  • FDP4.0%
  • Others7.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 6 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 9.7 points lower and Linke 5.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -9.7average 21.7
  • Linke +5.9average 31.1
  • FDP -1.8average 5.8
  • AfD +1.2average 22.8
  • SPD +1.2average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.4average 6.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 36 seatsAfD: 24 seatsCDU: 12 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke36
  • AfD24
  • CDU12
  • SPD9
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD60 of 88
  • Linke + CDU48 of 88
  • Linke + SPD45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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