Rhineland-Palatinate state election 2021: the result
In the Rhineland-Palatinate state election on 14 March 2021, SPD became the largest party with 35.7%, 8 points ahead of CDU (27.7%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- Linke (2.5%), Tierschutzpartei (1.7%), Die PARTEI (1.1%), Volt (1.0%), Piraten (0.5%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 1.7 points per party on average, SPD underestimated by 3.9
- Turnout
- 64.3%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2021 state election
Turnout in the Rhineland-Palatinate state election on 14 March 2021 was 64.3%. The Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate has 101 seats; a majority needs 51.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2021 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 35.7% | 39 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 27.7% | 31 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 9.3% | 10 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 8.3% | 9 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.5% | 6 |
| Freie Wähler | 5.4% | 6 |
| Die Linke | 2.5% | – |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | 1.7% | – |
| Die PARTEI | 1.1% | – |
| Volt Deutschland | 1.0% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.5% | – |
| Others | 1.3% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 101 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate after the 2021 result
101 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- SPD39
- CDU31
- Grüne10
- AfD9
- FDP6
- Freie Wähler6
Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + CDU70 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler55 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP54 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler54 of 101
- SPD + FDP + Freie Wähler51 of 101
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election
9 polls between 23 Feb 2021 and 12 Mar 2021, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Linke | Tierschutzpartei | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 12 Mar 2021 | 32 | 29 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Mar 2021 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 6.5 | 5 | 3 | – | ||
| Civey | 10 Mar 2021 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | – | 2 | – | ||
| INSA | 9 Mar 2021 | 30 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Mar 2021 | 33 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2.5 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2021 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 4 Mar 2021 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 25 Feb 2021 | 30 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| INSA | 23 Feb 2021 | 31 | 33 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | – | ||
| Min – Max | 30–33 | 28–33 | 10–13 | 9–10 | 6–9 | 3–5 | 2–3 | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Who came closest before the 2021 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | CDU | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 14 Mar 2021 | 35.7% | 27.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Mar 2021 (3 days before) | -2.7 | +1.3 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +1.0 | -0.4 | +0.5 | 1.0 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Mar 2021 (7 days before) | -2.7 | +0.3 | +0.7 | +1.7 | +2.5 | -0.4 | ±0 | 1.2 |
| INSA | 12 Mar 2021 (2 days before) | -3.7 | +1.3 | +0.7 | +1.7 | +1.5 | -1.4 | +0.5 | 1.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Mar 2021 (10 days before) | -5.7 | +0.3 | +2.7 | +0.7 | +3.5 | -0.4 | +0.5 | 2.0 |
| Civey | 10 Mar 2021 (4 days before) | -4.7 | +2.3 | +3.7 | +0.7 | +2.5 | – | -0.5 | 2.4 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.