Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
1 to 3 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,186
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%±0
  • CDU28.0%-3.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler5.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Feb 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,186 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Feb 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.0 points lower and FDP 3.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.0average 33.0
  • FDP +3.5average 5.5
  • Freie Wähler +2.0average 3.0
  • SPD -1.0average 31.0
  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 12.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 33 seatsCDU: 30 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsFDP: 10 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFreie Wähler: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD33
  • CDU30
  • Grüne13
  • FDP10
  • AfD10
  • Freie Wähler5
  • SPD + CDU63 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD56 of 101
  • SPD + FDP + AfD53 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP53 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD53 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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