Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 July 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
9 to 13 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,153
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD38.0%+8.0
  • CDU24.0%-4.0
  • Grüne9.0%-3.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-3.0
  • Freie Wähler6.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 38.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,153 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 5.7 points higher and CDU 5.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.7average 32.3
  • CDU -5.0average 29.0
  • Grüne -1.8average 10.8
  • AfD -1.5average 9.5
  • FDP -1.4average 7.4
  • Freie Wähler +1.3average 4.7
  • Linke +0.4average 2.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 42 seatsCDU: 26 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsAfD: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsFreie Wähler: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD42
  • CDU26
  • Grüne10
  • AfD9
  • FDP7
  • Freie Wähler7
  • SPD + CDU68 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne52 of 101
  • SPD + AfD51 of 101
  • SPD + FDP + Freie Wähler56 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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