Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 February 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU31.0%-2.0
  • SPD30.0%+2.0
  • Grüne12.0%-3.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Jan 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Jan 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.0 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 33.0
  • FDP +1.5average 5.5
  • SPD -1.0average 31.0
  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • Freie Wähler +1.0average 3.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 12.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 35 seatsSPD: 34 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU35
  • SPD34
  • Grüne14
  • AfD10
  • FDP8
  • CDU + SPD69 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD59 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP57 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP53 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + FDP52 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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