Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 January 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
8 to 12 Jan 2021
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU33.0%-1.0
  • SPD28.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Dec 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Dec 2020, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.0average 10.0
  • Linke -2.0average 5.0
  • SPD +1.0average 27.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 14.0
  • FDP +1.0average 5.0
  • CDU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 37 seatsSPD: 31 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsAfD: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU37
  • SPD31
  • Grüne17
  • AfD9
  • FDP7
  • CDU + SPD68 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne54 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP53 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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