Brandenburg state election 2019: the result
In the Brandenburg state election on 1 September 2019, SPD became the largest party with 26.2%, 2.7 points ahead of AfD (23.5%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- FDP (4.1%), Tierschutzpartei (2.6%), Piraten (0.7%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 3.2 points per party on average, SPD underestimated by 6.7
- Turnout
- 61.3%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2019 state election
Turnout in the Brandenburg state election on 1 September 2019 was 61.3%. The Landtag of Brandenburg has 88 seats; a majority needs 45.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2019 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 26.2% | 25 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 23.5% | 23 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 15.6% | 15 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 10.8% | 10 |
| Die Linke | 10.7% | 10 |
| Brandenburger Vereinigte Bürgerbewegungen/Freie Wähler | 5.0% | 5 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 4.1% | – |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | 2.6% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.7% | – |
| Others | 0.8% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 88 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Brandenburg after the 2019 result
88 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- SPD25
- AfD23
- CDU15
- Grüne10
- Linke10
- BVB/FW5
Which alliances had a majority after the 2019 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + AfD48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW45 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2019 state election
7 polls between 9 Aug 2019 and 29 Aug 2019, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | AfD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | BVB/FW | FDP | Tierschutzpartei | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2019 | 22 | 21 | 16.5 | 14.5 | 14 | 4 | 5 | – | ||
| Civey | 28 Aug 2019 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 17.9 | 14.8 | 15.5 | – | 4.9 | – | ||
| INSA | 27 Aug 2019 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 5 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2019 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 5 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2019 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 5 | – | ||
| Civey | 14 Aug 2019 | 18.3 | 21 | 17 | 17.2 | 14.8 | – | 5.5 | – | ||
| Forsa | 9 Aug 2019 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 5 | – | ||
| Min – Max | 17–22 | 20–22 | 16.5–18 | 12–17.2 | 14–15.5 | 4–5 | 4.9–5.5 | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 29 Aug 2019
Who came closest before the 2019 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | AfD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | BVB/FW | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 1 Sep 2019 | 26.2% | 23.5% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2019 (10 days before) | -4.2 | -1.5 | +2.4 | +1.2 | +4.3 | -1.0 | +0.9 | 2.2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2019 (3 days before) | -4.2 | -2.5 | +0.9 | +3.7 | +3.3 | -1.0 | +0.9 | 2.4 |
| INSA | 27 Aug 2019 (5 days before) | -5.2 | -2.5 | +1.4 | +3.2 | +4.3 | ±0 | +0.9 | 2.5 |
| Civey | 28 Aug 2019 (4 days before) | -5.9 | -3.2 | +2.3 | +4.0 | +4.8 | – | +0.8 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 9 Aug 2019 (23 days before) | -9.2 | -2.5 | +2.4 | +5.2 | +3.3 | -1.0 | +0.9 | 3.5 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.