Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
19 to 21 Aug 2019
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD22.0%+4.0
  • AfD22.0%+1.0
  • CDU18.0%+1.0
  • Linke15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%-5.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BVB/FW4.0%±0
  • Others2.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Jun 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Jun 2019, Grüne loses 5.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.4 points lower and SPD 3.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -4.4average 16.4
  • SPD +3.9average 18.1
  • AfD +1.7average 20.3
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • BVB/FW +0.5average 3.5
  • CDU +0.3average 17.7
  • Linke +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 21 seatsAfD: 20 seatsCDU: 17 seatsLinke: 14 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD21
  • AfD20
  • CDU17
  • Linke14
  • Grüne11
  • FDP5
  • SPD + AfD + CDU58 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke55 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke52 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke51 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP46 of 88
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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