Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 November 2019 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell
Fieldwork period
11 to 16 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%+3.0
  • AfD22.0%±0
  • CDU14.0%-4.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%-3.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BVB/FW5.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Aug 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Aug 2019, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.9 points higher and CDU 3.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.9average 20.1
  • CDU -3.4average 17.4
  • Grüne -2.8average 14.8
  • Linke -2.6average 14.6
  • AfD +1.2average 20.8
  • BVB/FW +0.7average 4.3
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 23 seatsAfD: 20 seatsCDU: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 11 seatsFDP: 5 seatsBVB/FW: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD23
  • AfD20
  • CDU13
  • Grüne11
  • Linke11
  • FDP5
  • BVB/FW5
  • SPD + AfD + CDU56 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne54 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke54 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP48 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + BVB/FW48 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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