Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 April 2020 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell
Fieldwork period
31 Mar 2020 to 4 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD27.0%+2.0
  • AfD20.0%-2.0
  • CDU19.0%+5.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • BVB/FW3.0%-2.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 31 Mar 2020 to 4 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2019, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 5.0 points higher and CDU 5.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.0average 22.0
  • CDU +5.0average 14.0
  • Linke -4.0average 15.0
  • BVB/FW -4.0average 7.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 15.0
  • AfD +2.0average 18.0
  • FDP +1.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 26 seatsAfD: 20 seatsCDU: 19 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsLinke: 11 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD26
  • AfD20
  • CDU19
  • Grüne12
  • Linke11
  • SPD + AfD46 of 88
  • SPD + CDU45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke49 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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