Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 November 2020 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
12 to 17 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU20.0%+1.0
  • AfD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • BVB/FW3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Apr 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 12 to 17 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Apr 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.0 points higher and BVB/FW 3.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.0average 22.0
  • BVB/FW -3.3average 6.3
  • CDU +3.0average 17.0
  • Grüne -2.8average 14.8
  • FDP +2.0average 3.0
  • Linke -1.8average 12.8
  • AfD -0.5average 19.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 25 seatsCDU: 19 seatsAfD: 18 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 10 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD25
  • CDU19
  • AfD18
  • Grüne11
  • Linke10
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU + AfD62 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne55 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke54 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne54 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke53 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + FDP49 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP48 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne48 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Linke47 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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