Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 May 2021 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
12 to 15 May 2021
Respondents
1,183
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD23.0%-3.0
  • AfD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%+4.0
  • CDU16.0%-4.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+2.0
  • BVB/FW4.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,183 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 May 2021, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2020, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 3.7 points higher and BVB/FW 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +3.7average 3.3
  • BVB/FW -2.2average 6.2
  • CDU -2.0average 18.0
  • Linke -1.5average 12.5
  • Grüne +1.2average 14.8
  • SPD +0.7average 22.3
  • AfD -0.3average 18.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 22 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsCDU: 15 seatsLinke: 11 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD22
  • AfD17
  • Grüne16
  • CDU15
  • Linke11
  • FDP7
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne55 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + CDU54 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + CDU53 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke50 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke49 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke48 of 88
  • AfD + Grüne + CDU48 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP46 of 88
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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