Civey poll of 28 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2019 to 28 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,460
- Method
- Online
- SPD20.3%+2.0
- AfD20.3%-0.7
- CDU17.9%+0.9
- Linke15.5%+0.7
- Grüne14.8%-2.4
- FDP4.9%-0.6
- Others6.3%+0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Aug 2019.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 20.3%, followed by AfD on 20.3%. 2,460 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2019 to 28 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Aug 2019, Grüne loses 2.4 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.0average 14.5
- Grüne +0.8average 14.0
- AfD -0.7average 21.0
- CDU +0.1average 17.8
- FDP -0.1average 5.0
- SPD ±0average 20.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD20
- AfD20
- CDU18
- Grüne15
- Linke15
- SPD + AfD + CDU58 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke55 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke53 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne53 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke53 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke50 of 88
- CDU + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.