Civey poll of 14 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 16 Jul 2019 to 13 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,966
- Method
- Online
- AfD21.0%-0.3
- SPD18.3%+1.0
- Grüne17.2%+2.4
- CDU17.0%+0.6
- Linke14.8%-1.9
- FDP5.5%+0.3
- Others6.2%-2.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Jul 2019.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 18.3%. 2,966 people were surveyed from 16 Jul 2019 to 13 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Jul 2019, Grüne gains 2.4 points, Linke loses 1.9 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.9average 16.3
- AfD +0.7average 20.3
- CDU -0.7average 17.7
- SPD +0.3average 18.0
- FDP +0.2average 5.3
- Linke +0.1average 14.7
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD20
- SPD17
- Grüne16
- CDU16
- Linke14
- FDP5
- AfD + SPD + Grüne53 of 88
- AfD + SPD + CDU53 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + CDU52 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke51 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + CDU49 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
- Grüne + CDU + Linke46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.