Civey poll of 17 July 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 18 Jun 2019 to 16 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,962
- Method
- Online
- AfD21.3%+1.7
- SPD17.3%-4.1
- Linke16.7%-2.8
- CDU16.4%+0.1
- Grüne14.8%+2.8
- FDP5.2%+0.9
- Others8.3%+1.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 21.3%, followed by SPD on 17.3%. 2,962 people were surveyed from 18 Jun 2019 to 16 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019, SPD loses 4.1 points, Linke loses 2.8 points, Grüne gains 2.8 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.7average 15.0
- Grüne -1.7average 16.5
- AfD +1.3average 20.0
- SPD -1.2average 18.5
- CDU -1.1average 17.5
- FDP -0.3average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD20
- SPD17
- Linke16
- CDU16
- Grüne14
- FDP5
- AfD + SPD + Linke53 of 88
- AfD + SPD + CDU53 of 88
- AfD + Linke + CDU52 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- SPD + Linke + CDU49 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.