Civey poll of 13 June 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 3,007
- Method
- Online
- SPD21.4%-1.6
- AfD19.6%-1.3
- Linke19.5%+2.7
- CDU16.3%-3.6
- Grüne12.0%+2.8
- FDP4.3%-0.1
- Others6.9%+1.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 21.4%, followed by AfD on 19.6%. 3,007 people were surveyed from 15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019, CDU loses 3.6 points, Grüne gains 2.8 points, Linke gains 2.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 3.5 points higher and SPD 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +3.5average 16.0
- SPD +2.9average 18.5
- Grüne -2.5average 14.5
- CDU -2.2average 18.5
- AfD -0.9average 20.5
- FDP -0.7average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD21
- AfD20
- Linke19
- CDU16
- Grüne12
- SPD + AfD + Linke60 of 88
- SPD + AfD + CDU57 of 88
- SPD + Linke + CDU56 of 88
- AfD + Linke + CDU55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne52 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.