Civey poll of 16 April 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,380
- Method
- Online
- SPD23.0%+1.2
- AfD20.9%+2.1
- CDU19.9%-2.2
- Linke16.8%-3.2
- Grüne9.2%+2.2
- FDP4.4%±0
- Others5.8%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Feb 2018.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 20.9%. 1,380 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Feb 2018, Linke loses 3.2 points, CDU loses 2.2 points, Grüne gains 2.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.8 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 11.0
- SPD +1.5average 21.5
- AfD +1.1average 19.8
- CDU -0.4average 20.3
- Linke -0.2average 17.0
- FDP -0.1average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD23
- AfD20
- CDU20
- Linke16
- Grüne9
- SPD + AfD + CDU63 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke59 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke59 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke56 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne52 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.