Single poll
Civey poll of 21 February 2018 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 12 Dec 2017 to 21 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 5,955
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU22.1%
- SPD21.8%
- Linke20.0%
- AfD18.8%
- Grüne7.0%
- FDP4.4%
- Others5.9%
22.1%
CDU
21.8%
SPD
20.0%
Linke
18.8%
AfD
7.0%
Grüne
4.4%
FDP
5.9%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.1%, followed by SPD on 21.8%. 5,955 people were surveyed from 12 Dec 2017 to 21 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 2.5 points higher and SPD 2.2 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.5average 17.5
- SPD -2.2average 24.0
- FDP -1.6average 6.0
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
- AfD -0.2average 19.0
- CDU +0.1average 22.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- CDU22
- SPD21
- Linke20
- AfD18
- Grüne7
- CDU + SPD + Linke63 of 88
- CDU + SPD + AfD61 of 88
- CDU + Linke + AfD60 of 88
- SPD + Linke + AfD59 of 88
- CDU + SPD + Grüne50 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne46 of 88
- Linke + AfD + Grüne45 of 88
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.