INSA poll of 27 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,019
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD21.0%+2.0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- CDU17.0%-1.0
- Linke15.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%-2.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- BVB/FW5.0%+2.0
- Others2.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jul 2019.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,019 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Aug 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jul 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 19.6
- BVB/FW +1.0average 4.0
- CDU -0.8average 17.8
- Grüne -0.8average 14.8
- Linke +0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- AfD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD19
- AfD19
- CDU15
- Grüne13
- Linke13
- FDP5
- BVB/FW4
- SPD + AfD + CDU53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke47 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.