INSA poll of 8 October 2020 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2020 to 6 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,043
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- CDU17.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+2.0
- Linke13.0%-2.0
- BVB/FW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Aug 2019.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,043 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2020 to 6 Oct 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Aug 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.5 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.5average 24.5
- Grüne +2.5average 13.5
- AfD +1.0average 19.0
- CDU +0.5average 16.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- Linke ±0average 13.0
- BVB/FW ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD20
- AfD19
- CDU16
- Grüne15
- Linke13
- BVB/FW5
- SPD + AfD + CDU55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne54 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke52 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.