INSA poll of 11 October 2022 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%+5.0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- CDU17.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-5.0
- Linke10.0%-3.0
- BVB/FW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Oct 2020, AfD gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.3 points lower and Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.3average 25.3
- Linke +2.5average 7.5
- CDU +2.0average 15.0
- AfD +0.5average 24.5
- Grüne -0.5average 11.5
- BVB/FW -0.5average 5.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD24
- SPD21
- CDU17
- Grüne11
- Linke10
- BVB/FW5
- AfD + SPD45 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne52 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BVB/FW46 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.