INSA poll of 5 April 2023 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- CDU19.0%+2.0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BVB/FW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 4.3 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.3average 25.3
- CDU +2.0average 17.0
- Grüne +2.0average 8.0
- Linke +1.5average 8.5
- BVB/FW -0.8average 5.8
- AfD +0.5average 24.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD24
- SPD20
- CDU19
- Grüne10
- Linke10
- BVB/FW5
- AfD + SPD + CDU63 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne54 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke54 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne53 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke53 of 88
- AfD + SPD + BVB/FW49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BVB/FW48 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.