INSA poll of 2 July 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Jun 2019 to 1 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- CDU18.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%+4.0
- Linke16.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- BVB/FW3.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 19.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 24 Jun 2019 to 1 Jul 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2019, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 14.5
- AfD -1.3average 20.3
- CDU +1.3average 16.7
- FDP +1.3average 4.7
- BVB/FW -1.0average 4.0
- Linke -0.8average 16.8
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD18
- AfD18
- CDU17
- Grüne15
- Linke15
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD + CDU53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
- CDU + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.