INSA poll of 30 May 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 28 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,011
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- CDU20.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- Linke18.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BVB/FW3.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Feb 2019.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 20.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 2,011 people were surveyed from 13 to 28 May 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Feb 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 22.0
- Grüne +1.2average 10.8
- Linke +1.0average 17.0
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- AfD -0.2average 20.2
- CDU ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD19
- CDU19
- SPD18
- Linke17
- Grüne11
- FDP4
- AfD + CDU + SPD56 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke55 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke54 of 88
- CDU + SPD + Linke54 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne48 of 88
- CDU + SPD + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne47 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.