INSA poll of 7 February 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jan 2019 to 4 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD21.0%-2.0
- CDU21.0%+3.0
- AfD19.0%-2.0
- Linke17.0%-1.0
- Grüne10.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BVB/FW4.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2019 to 4 Feb 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Aug 2018, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.3average 21.3
- SPD -1.0average 22.0
- CDU +0.7average 20.3
- FDP +0.7average 4.3
- Linke -0.3average 17.3
- Grüne +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD20
- CDU20
- AfD18
- Linke16
- Grüne9
- FDP5
- SPD + CDU + AfD58 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke56 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke54 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Linke54 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne47 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.