Single poll
INSA poll of 17 August 2018 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,048
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD23.0%
- AfD21.0%
- Linke18.0%
- CDU18.0%
- Grüne8.0%
- FDP5.0%
- BVB/FW4.0%
- Others3.0%
23.0%
SPD
21.0%
AfD
18.0%
Linke
18.0%
CDU
8.0%
Grüne
5.0%
FDP
4.0%
BVB/FW
3.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.6average 22.6
- Grüne +1.0average 7.0
- FDP +0.8average 4.2
- SPD +0.6average 22.4
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- Linke -0.5average 18.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD22
- AfD20
- Linke17
- CDU17
- Grüne7
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD + Linke59 of 88
- SPD + AfD + CDU59 of 88
- SPD + Linke + CDU56 of 88
- AfD + Linke + CDU54 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + AfD + FDP47 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.