Pollster and election
Trend Research Hamburg on the federal election
7 polls since 10 February 2017, the latest from 21 September 2021 for Radio Hamburg. Against the current average of all pollsters, Trend Research Hamburg has AfD -16.9 and SPD +14.3.
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
27.0%
+1.0
SPD
22.0%
+2.0
CDU/CSU
15.0%
±0
Grüne
11.0%
-2.0
FDP
11.0%
-1.0
AfD
7.0%
±0
Linke
8.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Trend Research Hamburg poll of 8 Sep 2021.
Trend
All Trend Research Hamburg figures for the federal election
Accuracy
Trend Research Hamburg before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 21 Sep 2021)1.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU -2.1
- Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 18 Sep 2017)1.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.1
Archive
All 7 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU/CSU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Research Hamburg | 21 Sep 2021 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 8 Sep 2021 | 26 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 7 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 25 Aug 2021 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 18 Sep 2017 | 22 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 4 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 11 Sep 2017 | 24 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 4 Sep 2017 | 23 | 38 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| Trend Research Hamburg | 10 Feb 2017 | 30 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 5 |