Trend Research Hamburg poll of 11 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 1,045
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
- SPD24.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 4 Sep 2017.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,045 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 4 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.1average 9.1
- SPD +0.9average 23.1
- Linke +0.7average 9.3
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 37.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- SPD157
- Linke66
- AfD66
- FDP52
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.