Trend Research Hamburg poll of 4 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Aug 2017
- Respondents
- 1,049
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.0%+8.0
- SPD23.0%-7.0
- AfD10.0%-3.0
- FDP9.0%+3.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 10 Feb 2017.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,049 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 10 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU gains 8.0 points, SPD loses 7.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 7.5
- AfD +1.2average 8.8
- SPD -0.4average 23.4
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU ±0average 38.0
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- SPD152
- AfD66
- FDP60
- Linke60
- Grüne40
- CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.