Single poll
Trend Research Hamburg poll of 10 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2017 to 6 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 854
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%
- SPD30.0%
- AfD13.0%
- Linke9.0%
- Grüne7.0%
- FDP6.0%
- Others5.0%
30.0%
CDU/CSU
30.0%
SPD
13.0%
AfD
9.0%
Linke
7.0%
Grüne
6.0%
FDP
5.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 854 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2017 to 6 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower and SPD 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.5average 33.5
- SPD +2.2average 27.8
- AfD +1.6average 11.4
- Grüne -1.4average 8.4
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD199
- AfD86
- Linke60
- Grüne46
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne331 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.