Trend Research Hamburg poll of 18 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 1,042
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
- SPD22.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 11 Sep 2017.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,042 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 11 Sep 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 37.0
- Grüne -0.9average 7.9
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.3average 22.3
- FDP -0.3average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD146
- AfD73
- Linke66
- FDP60
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.