Trend Research Hamburg poll of 25 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,096
- Method
- Online
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 18 Sep 2017.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,096 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 18 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 13.0 points, Grüne gains 10.0 points, FDP gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 24.8
- FDP +1.3average 11.7
- SPD +1.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- Grüne -0.9average 17.9
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU156
- SPD143
- Grüne115
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne414 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.