Trend Research Hamburg poll of 8 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2021 to 2 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,065
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+5.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-3.0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 25 Aug 2021.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,065 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2021 to 2 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 25 Aug 2021, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 16.8
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- SPD +0.5average 25.5
- Linke +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD176
- CDU/CSU136
- Grüne102
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne414 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP400 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD393 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.