Lower Saxony state election 2017: the result
In the Lower Saxony state election on 15 October 2017, SPD became the largest party with 36.9%, 3.3 points ahead of CDU (33.6%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- Linke (4.6%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 1.7 points per party on average, SPD underestimated by 5.1
- Turnout
- 63.1%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2017 state election
Turnout in the Lower Saxony state election on 15 October 2017 was 63.1%. The Landtag of Lower Saxony has 137 seats; a majority needs 69.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2017 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 36.9% | 55 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 33.6% | 50 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 8.7% | 12 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 7.5% | 11 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 6.2% | 9 |
| Die Linke | 4.6% | – |
| Others | 2.5% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 137 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Lower Saxony after the 2017 result
137 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- SPD55
- CDU50
- Grüne12
- FDP11
- AfD9
Which alliances had a majority after the 2017 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + CDU105 of 137
- SPD + Grüne + FDP78 of 137
- SPD + Grüne + AfD76 of 137
- SPD + FDP + AfD75 of 137
- CDU + Grüne + FDP73 of 137
- CDU + Grüne + AfD71 of 137
- CDU + FDP + AfD70 of 137
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2017 state election
7 polls between 28 Sep 2017 and 13 Oct 2017, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 13 Oct 2017 | 34.6 | 31.8 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 7.8 | 5.7 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 Oct 2017 | 34.5 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | ||
| INSA | 9 Oct 2017 | 33 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 5 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 Oct 2017 | 33 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 5 Oct 2017 | 34 | 34 | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 4.5 | ||
| Civey | 2 Oct 2017 | 32.8 | 33.1 | 9.9 | 8 | 8.1 | 5.4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2017 | 34 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | ||
| Min – Max | 32.8–34.6 | 31.8–35 | 8.5–10 | 8–10 | 6–8.1 | 4.5–5.7 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Who came closest before the 2017 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 15 Oct 2017 | 36.9% | 33.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 Oct 2017 (3 days before) | -2.4 | -0.6 | +0.3 | +1.5 | +0.8 | +0.4 | 1.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Oct 2017 (10 days before) | -2.9 | +0.4 | -0.2 | +0.5 | +1.8 | -0.1 | 1.0 |
| Civey | 13 Oct 2017 (2 days before) | -2.3 | -1.8 | -0.2 | +1.4 | +1.6 | +1.1 | 1.4 |
| INSA | 9 Oct 2017 (6 days before) | -3.9 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +2.5 | +0.8 | +0.4 | 1.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.