INSA poll of 9 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD33.0%+5.0
- CDU32.0%-8.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.0%+1.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others3.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2017.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2017, CDU loses 8.0 points, SPD gains 5.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.8 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.8average 34.8
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Grüne +1.1average 8.9
- AfD -0.8average 7.8
- SPD +0.3average 32.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD46
- CDU44
- FDP14
- Grüne14
- AfD10
- Linke7
- SPD + CDU90 of 135
- SPD + FDP + Grüne74 of 135
- CDU + FDP + Grüne72 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD70 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 135
- CDU + FDP + AfD68 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.