Single poll

INSA poll of 9 August 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
9 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU40.0%-1.0
  • SPD28.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%+1.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others2.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2017, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 8.0 points lower and CDU 5.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -8.0average 36.0
  • CDU +5.0average 35.0
  • FDP +3.0average 6.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 8.0
  • AfD +1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 55 seatsSPD: 39 seatsFDP: 12 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsAfD: 10 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU55
  • SPD39
  • FDP12
  • Grüne12
  • AfD10
  • Linke7
  • CDU + SPD94 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne79 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + AfD77 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD77 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + Linke74 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke74 of 135
  • CDU + AfD + Linke72 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.