Single poll

INSA poll of 27 May 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
18 to 23 May 2017
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU41.0%
  • SPD27.0%
  • FDP9.0%
  • Grüne8.0%
  • AfD6.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 41.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 9.0 points lower and CDU 6.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -9.0average 36.0
  • CDU +6.0average 35.0
  • FDP +3.0average 6.0
  • Linke +1.0average 4.0
  • Grüne ±0average 8.0
  • AfD ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 58 seatsSPD: 38 seatsFDP: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsAfD: 8 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU58
  • SPD38
  • FDP13
  • Grüne11
  • AfD8
  • Linke7
  • CDU + SPD96 of 135
  • CDU + FDP71 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne69 of 135
  • CDU + AfD + Linke73 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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