Single poll
INSA poll of 21 November 2018 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,053
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU27.0%-5.0
- SPD26.0%-7.0
- Grüne17.0%+7.0
- AfD12.0%+5.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
27.0%
-5.0
CDU
26.0%
-7.0
SPD
17.0%
+7.0
Grüne
12.0%
+5.0
AfD
10.0%
±0
FDP
5.0%
±0
Linke
3.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,053 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Nov 2018, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Oct 2017, SPD loses 7.0 points, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points.
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU37
- SPD36
- Grüne24
- AfD17
- FDP14
- Linke7
- CDU + SPD73 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD78 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD77 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP75 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + FDP74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + Linke68 of 135
- CDU + AfD + FDP68 of 135
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.