Single poll
INSA poll of 8 November 2020 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Oct 2020 to 2 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 26 Oct 2020 to 2 Nov 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Nov 2018, CDU gains 7.0 points, AfD loses 6.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 20.0
- FDP +2.0average 4.0
- CDU -1.0average 35.0
- SPD ±0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 6.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU48
- SPD38
- Grüne25
- FDP9
- AfD8
- Linke7
- CDU + SPD86 of 135
- CDU + Grüne73 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD71 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + Linke70 of 135
More
More polls
← INSA, 21 Nov 2018INSA, 30 Mar 2021 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.