INSA poll of 30 March 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 29 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,052
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%+3.0
- CDU26.0%-8.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+3.0
- AfD7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2020, CDU loses 8.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 7.0 points lower and FDP 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -7.0average 33.0
- FDP +4.0average 5.0
- SPD +3.0average 27.0
- Grüne -2.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD45
- CDU39
- Grüne27
- FDP14
- AfD10
- SPD + CDU84 of 135
- SPD + Grüne72 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP80 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD69 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.