INSA poll of 11 May 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 10 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%-1.0
- CDU26.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2021, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 7.0 points lower and FDP 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -7.0average 33.0
- FDP +4.0average 5.0
- SPD +2.0average 27.0
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- Grüne ±0average 20.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD41
- CDU36
- Grüne28
- FDP13
- AfD10
- Linke7
- SPD + CDU77 of 135
- SPD + Grüne69 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP77 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + Linke71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.