INSA poll of 21 October 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD39.0%+10.0
- CDU19.0%-7.0
- Grüne13.0%-7.0
- FDP12.0%+3.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 May 2021, SPD gains 10.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points, Grüne loses 7.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 23.0
- Grüne -3.0average 16.0
- SPD +2.5average 36.5
- FDP +1.5average 10.5
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- Linke +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD56
- CDU27
- Grüne18
- FDP17
- AfD10
- Linke7
- SPD + CDU83 of 135
- SPD + Grüne74 of 135
- SPD + FDP73 of 135
- SPD + AfD + Linke73 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.