Single poll

INSA poll of 23 February 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
14 to 21 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • SPD34.0%-5.0
  • CDU26.0%+7.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2021, CDU gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 23.0
  • SPD -2.3average 36.3
  • Grüne -2.0average 16.0
  • FDP +0.7average 10.3
  • AfD +0.7average 6.3
  • Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 50 seatsCDU: 38 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 10 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD50
  • CDU38
  • Grüne21
  • FDP16
  • AfD10
  • SPD + CDU88 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne71 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD76 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP75 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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