Single poll

INSA poll of 21 June 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • SPD31.0%-3.0
  • CDU29.0%+3.0
  • Grüne17.0%+3.0
  • FDP8.0%-3.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.5 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.5average 20.5
  • CDU +3.0average 26.0
  • SPD -1.5average 32.5
  • FDP +1.5average 6.5
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • AfD ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 46 seatsCDU: 43 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsFDP: 12 seatsAfD: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD46
  • CDU43
  • Grüne25
  • FDP12
  • AfD9
  • SPD + CDU89 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne71 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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