Single poll

INSA poll of 4 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2022 to 2 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • SPD31.0%±0
  • CDU28.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2022 to 2 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jun 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.0average 26.0
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • Linke +0.7average 3.3
  • SPD -0.5average 31.5
  • FDP +0.5average 6.5
  • Grüne -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 46 seatsCDU: 41 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsFDP: 10 seatsAfD: 10 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD46
  • CDU41
  • Grüne28
  • FDP10
  • AfD10
  • SPD + CDU87 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne74 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne69 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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